The model estimates 1.45 goals for Napoli and 1.36 for Lazio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Napoli and 6 for Lazio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Napoli is going head to head with Lazio on November 08, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 11.
Napoli take on Lazio in the Serie A on 8 November 2026 at 17:30.
Napoli are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while Lazio occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Napoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lazio have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 151 recorded meetings, Napoli have 58 wins against Lazio, with 47 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.80. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Napoli's last 6 home matches.
Lazio are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lazio have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 matches.