The model estimates 1.81 goals for NAC Breda and 1.48 for Waalwijk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for NAC Breda and 6 for Waalwijk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: NAC Breda · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
NAC Breda is going head to head with Waalwijk on April 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 36.
NAC Breda take on Waalwijk in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 30 April 2027 at 00:00.
NAC Breda are currently placed 6th in the table with 21 points, while Waalwijk occupy 11th position with 16 points.
NAC Breda come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Waalwijk have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 42 recorded meetings, Waalwijk have 23 wins against NAC Breda, with 4 draws.
Prediction: NAC Breda to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.28. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 66%.




NAC Breda are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, NAC Breda have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
NAC Breda have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Waalwijk have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Waalwijk have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Waalwijk's last 6 matches.