The model estimates 2.25 goals for NAC Breda and 1.21 for De Graafschap. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for NAC Breda and 6 for De Graafschap, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: NAC Breda · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
NAC Breda is going head to head with De Graafschap on May 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 38.
NAC Breda take on De Graafschap in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 14 May 2027 at 00:00.
NAC Breda are currently placed 6th in the table with 21 points, while De Graafschap occupy 16th position with 12 points.
NAC Breda come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas De Graafschap have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 50 recorded meetings, NAC Breda have 26 wins against De Graafschap, with 10 draws.
Prediction: NAC Breda to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.46. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 64%.




NAC Breda are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, NAC Breda have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
NAC Breda have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.