The model estimates 1.24 goals for Arbroath and 1.08 for Morton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arbroath and 6 for Morton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arbroath · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arbroath is going head to head with Morton on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 28.
Arbroath take on Morton in the Scottish Championship on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Arbroath are currently placed 8th in the table with 11 points, while Morton occupy 9th position with 7 points.
Arbroath come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Morton have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Arbroath have 1 win against Morton.
Prediction: Arbroath to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 49%.




Arbroath have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Arbroath have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Morton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Morton have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Morton concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.