The model estimates 1.14 goals for Morton and 1.30 for Ayr. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Morton and 6 for Ayr, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Morton is going head to head with Ayr on October 24, 2026 at 14:00. Played at Cappielow Park Greenock. This match is part of Scottish Championship — Round 12.
Morton take on Ayr in the Scottish Championship at Cappielow Park Greenock on 24 October 2026 at 14:00.
Morton are currently placed 9th in the table with 7 points, while Ayr occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Morton come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ayr have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Morton have yet to beat Ayr, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ayr to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.44. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.
MORAYRMORAYRMORAYRMORAYRMORAYRMORAYRMORAYRMORAYRMORAYRMorton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Morton have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Morton concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Ayr have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ayr's last 6 matches.
