The model estimates 1.17 goals for Moreirense and 1.48 for Vitoria Guimaraes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moreirense and 6 for Vitoria Guimaraes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vitoria Guimaraes · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moreirense is going head to head with Vitoria Guimaraes on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 24.
Moreirense take on Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Moreirense are currently placed 10th in the table with 11 points, while Vitoria Guimaraes occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Moreirense come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitoria Guimaraes have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Moreirense have yet to beat Vitoria Guimaraes, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.65. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 55%.
MORVITMORVITMORVITMORVITMORVITMORVITMORVITMORVITMORVITMoreirense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.
