The model estimates 1.01 goals for Marítimo and 1.65 for Vitoria Guimaraes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marítimo and 6 for Vitoria Guimaraes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marítimo · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marítimo is going head to head with Vitoria Guimaraes on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 26.
Marítimo take on Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Marítimo are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Vitoria Guimaraes occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Marítimo come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitoria Guimaraes have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Vitoria Guimaraes have 1 win against Marítimo.
Prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 53%.




Marítimo have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Marítimo's last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.