The model estimates 1.92 goals for Morecambe and 0.82 for Merthyr Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Morecambe and 6 for Merthyr Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Morecambe · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Morecambe is going head to head with Merthyr Town on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 34.
Morecambe take on Merthyr Town in the England National League North on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Morecambe are currently placed 10th in the table with 20 points, while Merthyr Town occupy 20th position with 15 points.
Morecambe come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Merthyr Town have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Morecambe have 1 win against Merthyr Town.
Prediction: Morecambe to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.74. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Morecambe have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Morecambe's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Morecambe's last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.