The model estimates 1.10 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.36 for Chester. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Merthyr Town and 6 for Chester, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chester · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Merthyr Town is going head to head with Chester on February 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 35.
Merthyr Town take on Chester in the England National League North on 23 February 2027 at 00:00.
Merthyr Town are currently placed 20th in the table with 15 points, while Chester occupy 5th position with 23 points.
Merthyr Town come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chester have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Merthyr Town have 1 win against Chester, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Chester to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.46. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 51%.
MERCHEMERCHEMERCHEMERCHEMERCHEMERCHEMERCHEMERCHEMERCHEMerthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Chester have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
