The model estimates 1.30 goals for Morecambe and 0.92 for Chester. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Morecambe and 6 for Chester, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Morecambe · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Morecambe is going head to head with Chester on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 40.
Morecambe take on Chester in the England National League North on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Morecambe are currently placed 10th in the table with 20 points, while Chester occupy 5th position with 23 points.
Morecambe come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chester have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Morecambe have 1 win against Chester, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Morecambe to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.22. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Morecambe have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Morecambe's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Morecambe's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Chester have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.