The model estimates 1.90 goals for Chester and 0.71 for Southport. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chester and 6 for Southport, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chester · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chester is going head to head with Southport on March 26, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 41.
Chester take on Southport in the England National League North on 26 March 2027 at 00:00.
Chester are currently placed 5th in the table with 23 points, while Southport occupy 23rd position with 10 points.
Chester come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southport have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Chester have 10 wins against Southport, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Chester to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 45%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Chester have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Southport have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Southport's last 6 matches.
Southport have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.