The model estimates 2.57 goals for Moralo and 0.92 for Jerez CF. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moralo and 6 for Jerez CF, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moralo · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moralo is going head to head with Jerez CF on March 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 28.
Moralo take on Jerez CF in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 28 March 2027 at 00:00.
Moralo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Jerez CF occupy 9th position with 10 points.
Moralo come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jerez CF have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 28 recorded meetings, Jerez CF have 10 wins against Moralo, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Moralo to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.49. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 57%.


Moralo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Moralo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Moralo's last 6 matches.
Jerez CF concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Jerez CF have won only 2 of their last 6 away matches.
Jerez CF have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.