The model estimates 1.33 goals for Moralo and 0.91 for Azuaga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Moralo and 6 for Azuaga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moralo · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Moralo is going head to head with Azuaga on December 20, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 16.
Moralo take on Azuaga in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 20 December 2026 at 20:00.
Moralo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 18 points, while Azuaga occupy 1st position with 21 points.
Moralo come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Azuaga have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Moralo have 11 wins against Azuaga, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Moralo to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.24. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 46%.


Moralo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Moralo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Moralo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Azuaga have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Azuaga have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Azuaga's last 6 matches.