The model estimates 1.41 goals for Monza and 2.71 for Lazio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monza and 6 for Lazio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lazio · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monza is going head to head with Lazio on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 21.
Monza take on Lazio in the Serie A on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Monza are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Lazio occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Monza come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lazio have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Lazio have 5 wins against Monza, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Lazio to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.12. Over 2.5: 78%. BTTS: 71%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Monza have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lazio are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lazio have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 matches.