The model estimates 1.49 goals for Montpellier and 0.79 for Metz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Montpellier and 6 for Metz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Montpellier · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Montpellier is going head to head with Metz on November 06, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Ligue 2 — Round 12.
Montpellier take on Metz in the Ligue 2 on 6 November 2026 at 22:00.
Montpellier are currently placed 2nd in the table with 21 points, while Metz occupy 8th position with 14 points.
Montpellier come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Metz have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 66 recorded meetings, Montpellier have 26 wins against Metz, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Montpellier to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.28. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 44%.




In their last 6 matches, Montpellier have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Montpellier have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Montpellier have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Metz's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Metz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Metz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.