The model estimates 1.07 goals for Metz and 1.00 for Boulogne. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Metz and 6 for Boulogne, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Metz · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Metz is going head to head with Boulogne on November 20, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Ligue 2 — Round 13.
Metz take on Boulogne in the Ligue 2 on 20 November 2026 at 22:00.
Metz are currently placed 8th in the table with 14 points, while Boulogne occupy 13th position with 10 points.
Metz come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Boulogne have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Metz and Boulogne to draw with probability 34%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.07. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 43%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Metz's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Metz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Metz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Boulogne have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Boulogne have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Boulogne's last 6 matches.