The model estimates 1.13 goals for Mirandés and 0.65 for Ponferradina. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mirandés and 6 for Ponferradina, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mirandés · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mirandés is going head to head with Ponferradina on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 21.
Mirandés take on Ponferradina in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Mirandés are currently placed 8th in the table with 17 points, while Ponferradina occupy 20th position with 14 points.
Mirandés come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponferradina have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ponferradina have 1 win against Mirandés.
Prediction: Mirandés to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.77. Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 34%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Mirandés's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mirandés have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Mirandés have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Ponferradina's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ponferradina have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Ponferradina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.