The model estimates 1.27 goals for Millwall and 1.67 for Southampton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Millwall and 6 for Southampton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southampton · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Millwall is going head to head with Southampton on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 43.
Millwall take on Southampton in the Championship on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Millwall are currently placed 13th in the table with 15 points, while Southampton occupy 2nd position with 24 points.
Millwall come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Southampton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Southampton have 9 wins against Millwall, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Southampton to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.95. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 60%.




Millwall have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Millwall have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Millwall's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Southampton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Southampton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.