The model estimates 1.68 goals for Millwall and 1.38 for Stoke City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Millwall and 6 for Stoke City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Millwall · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Millwall is going head to head with Stoke City on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 46.
Millwall take on Stoke City in the Championship on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Millwall are currently placed 13th in the table with 15 points, while Stoke City occupy 9th position with 20 points.
Millwall come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Stoke City have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, Millwall have 16 wins against Stoke City, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Millwall to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.06. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.




Millwall have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Millwall have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Millwall's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Stoke City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Stoke City's last 6 matches.