The model estimates 1.93 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.06 for Swansea City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Middlesbrough and 6 for Swansea City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Middlesbrough · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Middlesbrough is going head to head with Swansea City on November 24, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of Championship — Round 17.
Middlesbrough take on Swansea City in the Championship on 24 November 2026 at 19:45.
Middlesbrough are currently placed 1st in the table with 25 points, while Swansea City occupy 3rd position with 23 points.
Middlesbrough come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Swansea City have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 26 recorded meetings, Middlesbrough have 11 wins against Swansea City, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.99. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 57%.
MIDSWAMIDSWAMIDSWAMIDSWAMIDSWAMIDSWAMIDSWAMIDSWAMIDSWAMiddlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Swansea City have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Swansea City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Swansea City's last 6 matches.
