The model estimates 1.89 goals for Southampton and 1.29 for Middlesbrough. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Southampton and 6 for Middlesbrough, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Southampton · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Southampton is going head to head with Middlesbrough on November 27, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 18.
Southampton take on Middlesbrough in the Championship on 27 November 2026 at 20:00.
Southampton are currently placed 2nd in the table with 24 points, while Middlesbrough occupy 1st position with 25 points.
Southampton come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 40 recorded meetings, Southampton have 16 wins against Middlesbrough, with 13 draws.
Prediction: Southampton to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.19. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 63%.




In their last 6 matches, Southampton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Southampton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Southampton have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Middlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.