The model estimates 3.39 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.23 for Burnley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Middlesbrough and 6 for Burnley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Middlesbrough · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Middlesbrough is going head to head with Burnley on April 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 44.
Middlesbrough take on Burnley in the Championship on 20 April 2027 at 00:00.
Middlesbrough are currently placed 1st in the table with 25 points, while Burnley occupy 22nd position with 8 points.
Middlesbrough come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Burnley have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 56 recorded meetings, Burnley have 21 wins against Middlesbrough, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Middlesbrough to win with probability 68%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 4.62. Over 2.5: 84%. BTTS: 69%.
MIDBURMIDBURMIDBURMIDBURMIDBURMIDBURMIDBURMIDBURMIDBURMiddlesbrough are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 6 matches.
Burnley have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
