The model estimates 1.10 goals for Metz and 1.27 for Nancy. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Metz and 6 for Nancy, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nancy · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Metz is going head to head with Nancy on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 2 — Round 16.
Metz take on Nancy in the Ligue 2 on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Metz are currently placed 8th in the table with 14 points, while Nancy occupy 3rd position with 19 points.
Metz come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nancy have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Metz and Nancy to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 50%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Metz's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Metz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Metz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nancy have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nancy have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Nancy score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.