The model estimates 1.30 goals for Nantes and 1.58 for Metz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nantes and 6 for Metz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Metz · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nantes is going head to head with Metz on January 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 2 — Round 17.
Nantes take on Metz in the Ligue 2 on 15 January 2027 at 00:00.
Nantes are currently placed 15th in the table with 8 points, while Metz occupy 8th position with 14 points.
Nantes come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Metz have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 102 recorded meetings, Nantes have 34 wins against Metz, with 40 draws.
Prediction: Metz to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.




Nantes have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Nantes's last 6 matches.
Nantes have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Metz's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Metz have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Metz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.