The model estimates 1.43 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.58 for Poole. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Merthyr Town and 6 for Poole, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Merthyr Town is going head to head with Poole on September 22, 2020 at 09:00. This match is part of England Fa Cup — First Qualifying Round.
Merthyr Town take on Poole in the England Fa Cup on 22 September 2020 at 09:00.
Merthyr Town come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Poole have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Poole have 2 wins against Merthyr Town, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Poole to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.
MERPOOMERPOOMERPOOMERPOOMERPOOMERPOOMERPOOMERPOOMERPOOMerthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Merthyr Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Poole have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Poole's last 6 matches.
Poole have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
