The model estimates 0.89 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.46 for Hereford. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Merthyr Town and 6 for Hereford, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hereford · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Merthyr Town is going head to head with Hereford on March 29, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 42.
Merthyr Town take on Hereford in the England National League North on 29 March 2027 at 00:00.
Merthyr Town are currently placed 20th in the table with 15 points, while Hereford occupy 2nd position with 26 points.
Merthyr Town come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hereford have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Hereford have 1 win against Merthyr Town, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Hereford to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 47%.




Merthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
Hereford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hereford score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Hereford have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.