The model estimates 1.40 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.10 for Harborough. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Merthyr Town and 6 for Harborough, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Merthyr Town · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Merthyr Town is going head to head with Harborough on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 25.
Merthyr Town take on Harborough in the England National League North on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Merthyr Town are currently placed 20th in the table with 15 points, while Harborough occupy 16th position with 16 points.
Merthyr Town come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Harborough have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Merthyr Town to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.50. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.




Merthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
Harborough have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Harborough's last 6 matches.
Harborough have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.