The model estimates 1.47 goals for Merthyr Town and 1.82 for Buxton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Merthyr Town and 6 for Buxton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Merthyr Town · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Merthyr Town is going head to head with Buxton on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 40.
Merthyr Town take on Buxton in the England National League North on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Merthyr Town are currently placed 20th in the table with 15 points, while Buxton occupy 6th position with 23 points.
Merthyr Town come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Buxton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Buxton have 3 wins against Merthyr Town.
Prediction: Buxton to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.29. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 66%.




Merthyr Town have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Merthyr Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Merthyr Town's last 6 matches.
Buxton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Buxton's last 6 matches.
Buxton concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.