The model estimates 0.99 goals for Mantova and 1.35 for Ascoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mantova and 6 for Ascoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mantova · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mantova is going head to head with Ascoli on December 05, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 15.
Mantova take on Ascoli in the Serie B on 5 December 2026 at 17:00.
Mantova are currently placed 4th in the table with 17 points, while Ascoli occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Mantova come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ascoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ascoli to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.34. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 48%.
MANASCMANASCMANASCMANASCMANASCMANASCMANASCMANASCMANASCIn their last 6 matches, Mantova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mantova's last 6 matches.
Mantova have won only 2 of their last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ascoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Ascoli's last 6 matches.
Ascoli score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
