The model estimates 1.23 goals for MK Dons and 1.25 for Notts County. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for MK Dons and 6 for Notts County, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Notts County · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
MK Dons is going head to head with Notts County on November 28, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of League One — Round 17.
MK Dons take on Notts County in the League One on 28 November 2026 at 12:30.
MK Dons are currently placed 14th in the table with 15 points, while Notts County occupy 19th position with 11 points.
MK Dons come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Notts County have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, MK Dons have 12 wins against Notts County, with 6 draws.
Prediction: MK Dons and Notts County to draw with probability 30%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.48. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 52%.




In their last 6 matches, MK Dons have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
MK Dons have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of MK Dons's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Notts County have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Notts County's last 6 matches.
Notts County score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.