The model estimates 4.15 goals for Manchester Utd U18 and 0.98 for Derby U18. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Manchester Utd U18 and 6 for Derby U18, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Manchester Utd U18 · 75%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Manchester Utd U18 is going head to head with Derby U18 on November 21, 2026 at 12:00. This match is part of Premier League U18.
Manchester Utd U18 take on Derby U18 in the Premier League U18 on 21 November 2026 at 12:00.
Manchester Utd U18 are currently placed 3rd in the table with 19 points, while Derby U18 occupy 16th position with 10 points.
Manchester Utd U18 come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby U18 have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Manchester Utd U18 have 15 wins against Derby U18, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Manchester Utd U18 to win with probability 77%. Most likely scoreline: 4-0. Avg goals: 5.12. Over 2.5: 88%. BTTS: 62%.




Manchester Utd U18 are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Manchester Utd U18 have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Manchester Utd U18 have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derby U18 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby U18's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Derby U18's last 6 matches.