The model estimates 1.80 goals for Sunderland U18 and 2.68 for Derby U18. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sunderland U18 and 6 for Derby U18, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derby U18 · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sunderland U18 is going head to head with Derby U18 on December 19, 2026 at 13:00. This match is part of Premier League U18.
Sunderland U18 take on Derby U18 in the Premier League U18 on 19 December 2026 at 13:00.
Sunderland U18 are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Derby U18 occupy 16th position with 10 points.
Sunderland U18 come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby U18 have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 26 recorded meetings, Derby U18 have 14 wins against Sunderland U18, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Derby U18 to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.49. Over 2.5: 82%. BTTS: 79%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Sunderland U18's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sunderland U18's last 6 matches.
Sunderland U18 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derby U18 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby U18's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Derby U18's last 6 matches.