The model estimates 2.28 goals for Manchester Utd and 1.31 for Crystal Palace. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Manchester Utd and 6 for Crystal Palace, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Manchester Utd · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Manchester Utd is going head to head with Crystal Palace on April 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 33.
Manchester Utd take on Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 24 April 2027 at 00:00.
Manchester Utd are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Crystal Palace occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Manchester Utd come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Crystal Palace have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 54 recorded meetings, Manchester Utd have 31 wins against Crystal Palace, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Manchester Utd to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.59. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 67%.




Manchester Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Crystal Palace have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Crystal Palace concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Crystal Palace have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 away matches.