The model estimates 1.08 goals for Crystal Palace and 2.93 for Brighton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Crystal Palace and 6 for Brighton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brighton · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Crystal Palace is going head to head with Brighton on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 36.
Crystal Palace take on Brighton in the Premier League on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
Crystal Palace are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Brighton occupy 3rd position with 16 points.
Crystal Palace come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Brighton have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 34 recorded meetings, Crystal Palace have 11 wins against Brighton, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Brighton to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.02. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 63%.




Crystal Palace have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Crystal Palace concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Brighton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.