The model estimates 1.93 goals for Malvern Town and 2.42 for Chertsey. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malvern Town and 6 for Chertsey, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chertsey · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malvern Town is going head to head with Chertsey on November 28, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Southern League Premier South — Round 21.
Malvern Town take on Chertsey in the Southern League Premier South on 28 November 2026 at 15:00.
Malvern Town are currently placed 19th in the table with 11 points, while Chertsey occupy 8th position with 20 points.
Malvern Town come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chertsey have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Chertsey have 1 win against Malvern Town.
Prediction: Chertsey to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.35. Over 2.5: 81%. BTTS: 79%.




Malvern Town have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Malvern Town's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Malvern Town's last 6 matches.
Chertsey have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chertsey have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chertsey's last 6 matches.