The model estimates 1.47 goals for Malvern Town and 2.28 for Poole. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malvern Town and 6 for Poole, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Poole · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malvern Town is going head to head with Poole on December 12, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Southern League Premier South — Round 23.
Malvern Town take on Poole in the Southern League Premier South on 12 December 2026 at 15:00.
Malvern Town are currently placed 19th in the table with 11 points, while Poole occupy 2nd position with 28 points.
Malvern Town come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Poole have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Poole to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.76. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 70%.




Malvern Town have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Malvern Town's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Malvern Town's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Poole have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Poole's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Poole's last 6 matches.