The model estimates 1.12 goals for Machico and 0.72 for Ovarense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Machico and 6 for Ovarense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Machico · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Machico is going head to head with Ovarense on December 20, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 12.
Machico take on Ovarense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 20 December 2026 at 18:00.
Machico are currently placed 4th in the table with 13 points, while Ovarense occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Machico come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ovarense have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Machico to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.84. Over 2.5: 28%. BTTS: 36%.
MACOVAMACOVAMACOVAMACOVAMACOVAMACOVAMACOVAMACOVAMACOVAMachico are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Machico have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Machico have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Ovarense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ovarense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ovarense have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
