The model estimates 2.43 goals for Machico and 0.64 for Sousense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Machico and 6 for Sousense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Machico · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Machico is going head to head with Sousense on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 26.
Machico take on Sousense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Machico are currently placed 4th in the table with 13 points, while Sousense occupy 51st position with 2 points.
Machico come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sousense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Machico to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 44%.
MACSOUMACSOUMACSOUMACSOUMACSOUMACSOUMACSOUMACSOUMACSOUMachico are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Machico have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Machico have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Sousense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Sousense have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sousense's last 6 matches.
