The model estimates 2.38 goals for Ludogorets and 0.72 for Dunav Ruse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ludogorets and 6 for Dunav Ruse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ludogorets · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ludogorets is going head to head with Dunav Ruse on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 15.
Ludogorets take on Dunav Ruse in the Parva Liga on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Ludogorets are currently placed 3rd in the table with 26 points, while Dunav Ruse occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Ludogorets come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dunav Ruse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Ludogorets have 10 wins against Dunav Ruse, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Ludogorets to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.10. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Ludogorets have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ludogorets's last 6 matches.
Ludogorets score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dunav Ruse have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Dunav Ruse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Dunav Ruse's last 6 matches.