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The model estimates 1.36 goals for Loughborough Lightning W and 1.37 for Derby W. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Loughborough Lightning W and 6 for Derby W, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derby W · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Loughborough Lightning W is going head to head with Derby W on November 08, 2026 at 14:00. This match is part of Women's National League North — Round 10.
Loughborough Lightning W take on Derby W in the Women's National League North on 8 November 2026 at 14:00.
Loughborough Lightning W are currently placed 9th in the table with 8 points, while Derby W occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Loughborough Lightning W come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby W have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Derby W have 8 wins against Loughborough Lightning W, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Loughborough Lightning W to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.73. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 57%.
LOUDERLOUDERLOUDERLOUDERLOUDERLOUDERLOUDERLOUDERLOUDERLoughborough Lightning W have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Loughborough Lightning W's last 6 matches.
Loughborough Lightning W concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Derby W's last 6 matches.
Derby W score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Derby W concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
