The model estimates 0.93 goals for Lok. Sofia and 2.30 for CSKA-Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lok. Sofia and 6 for CSKA-Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lok. Sofia is going head to head with CSKA-Sofia on August 23, 2026 at 18:15. Played at Stadion Lokomotiv Sofia. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 6.
Lok. Sofia take on CSKA-Sofia in the Parva Liga at Stadion Lokomotiv Sofia on 23 August 2026 at 18:15.
Lok. Sofia are currently placed 13th in the table with 2 points, while CSKA-Sofia occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Lok. Sofia come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CSKA-Sofia have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 56 recorded meetings, CSKA-Sofia have 32 wins against Lok. Sofia, with 16 draws.
Prediction: CSKA-Sofia to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.23. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 56%.




Lok. Sofia have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lok. Sofia's last 6 matches.
Lok. Sofia have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, CSKA-Sofia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CSKA-Sofia have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of CSKA-Sofia's last 6 matches.