The model estimates 0.81 goals for Leningradets and 1.45 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leningradets and 6 for Shinnik Yaroslavl, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Shinnik Yaroslavl · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leningradets is going head to head with Shinnik Yaroslavl on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Russia 1 Division — Round 30.
Leningradets take on Shinnik Yaroslavl in the Russia 1 Division on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Leningradets are currently placed 17th in the table with 11 points, while Shinnik Yaroslavl occupy 7th position with 23 points.
Leningradets come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Shinnik Yaroslavl have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Shinnik Yaroslavl have 2 wins against Leningradets, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 44%.




Leningradets have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Leningradets have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Leningradets concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Shinnik Yaroslavl have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Shinnik Yaroslavl's last 6 matches.
Shinnik Yaroslavl have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.