The model estimates 1.79 goals for Leiria and 1.22 for Felgueiras. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leiria and 6 for Felgueiras, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leiria · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leiria is going head to head with Felgueiras on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 15.
Leiria take on Felgueiras in the Liga Portugal 2 on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Leiria are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Felgueiras occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Leiria come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Felgueiras have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Leiria to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.02. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 60%.




In their last 6 matches, Leiria have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Leiria's last 6 matches.
Leiria score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Felgueiras have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Felgueiras have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Felgueiras's last 6 matches.