The model estimates 2.23 goals for Leioa and 1.27 for Durango. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leioa and 6 for Durango, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leioa · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leioa is going head to head with Durango on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 33.
Leioa take on Durango in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Leioa are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while Durango occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Leioa come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Durango have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 18 recorded meetings, Leioa have 8 wins against Durango, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Leioa to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.50. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 65%.
Leioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leioa's last 6 matches.
Durango are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Durango have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Durango's last 6 matches.