The model estimates 1.21 goals for Derio and 1.19 for Leioa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derio and 6 for Leioa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derio is going head to head with Leioa on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 34.
Derio take on Leioa in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Derio are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Leioa occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Derio come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leioa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Leioa have 4 wins against Derio, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.40. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 51%.


In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.
Leioa are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leioa have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leioa's last 6 matches.