The model estimates 2.10 goals for Derio and 0.72 for Pasaia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derio and 6 for Pasaia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derio is going head to head with Pasaia on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 26.
Derio take on Pasaia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Derio are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Pasaia occupy 13th position with 10 points.
Derio come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pasaia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Derio have 4 wins against Pasaia, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.82. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 46%.


In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Pasaia have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.