The model estimates 1.71 goals for Lagoa and 1.38 for GD Alcochetense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lagoa and 6 for GD Alcochetense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lagoa · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lagoa is going head to head with GD Alcochetense on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 25.
Lagoa take on GD Alcochetense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Lagoa are currently placed 34th in the table with 6 points, while GD Alcochetense occupy 23rd position with 8 points.
Lagoa come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas GD Alcochetense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, GD Alcochetense have 2 wins against Lagoa.
Prediction: Lagoa to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.09. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.




Lagoa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lagoa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lagoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, GD Alcochetense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
GD Alcochetense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of GD Alcochetense's last 6 matches.