The model estimates 1.92 goals for Kostinbrod and 1.13 for Septemvri Simitli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kostinbrod and 6 for Septemvri Simitli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kostinbrod · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kostinbrod is going head to head with Septemvri Simitli on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South West — Round 18.
Kostinbrod take on Septemvri Simitli in the Bulgaria Third League South West on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Kostinbrod are currently placed 6th in the table with 21 points, while Septemvri Simitli occupy 13th position with 15 points.
Kostinbrod come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Septemvri Simitli have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Septemvri Simitli have 1 win against Kostinbrod.
Prediction: Kostinbrod to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 59%.




Kostinbrod score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Kostinbrod have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Kostinbrod have won 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Septemvri Simitli's last 6 matches.
Septemvri Simitli have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Septemvri Simitli have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.