The model estimates 0.97 goals for Kyustendil and 1.27 for Kostinbrod. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kyustendil and 6 for Kostinbrod, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kostinbrod · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kyustendil is going head to head with Kostinbrod on November 28, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South West — Round 19.
Kyustendil take on Kostinbrod in the Bulgaria Third League South West on 28 November 2026 at 15:00.
Kyustendil are currently placed 16th in the table with 13 points, while Kostinbrod occupy 6th position with 21 points.
Kyustendil come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Kostinbrod have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Kyustendil have 5 wins against Kostinbrod.
Prediction: Kostinbrod to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.25. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 46%.




Kyustendil have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Kyustendil's last 6 matches.
Kyustendil have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Kostinbrod score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.