The model estimates 0.82 goals for AEL Limassol and 2.04 for AEK Larnaca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEL Limassol and 6 for AEK Larnaca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Larnaca · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEL Limassol is going head to head with AEK Larnaca on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 25.
AEL Limassol take on AEK Larnaca in the Cypriot First Division on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
AEL Limassol are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while AEK Larnaca occupy 1st position with 16 points.
AEL Limassol come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AEK Larnaca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 66 recorded meetings, AEK Larnaca have 23 wins against AEL Limassol, with 22 draws.
Prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.86. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 50%.




In their last 6 matches, AEL Limassol have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AEL Limassol have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AEL Limassol's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEK Larnaca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AEK Larnaca's last 6 matches.